This year the theme for shortstop is positional scarcity. A decade ago the game was overflowing with great talent at the shortstop position. Now the only one left is Jeter and the cream of a much thinner crop resides in the National League with Hanley Ramirez and Troy Tulowitzki. Shortstop is going to be a hit or miss position after the top eight this year, but there is good talent out there. Here are my projections for this year.
Tier 1
1. Hanley Ramirez - 27 Bats: Right
|
Year |
AB |
R |
HR |
RBI |
SB |
AVG. |
OBP. |
|
2008 |
589 |
125 |
33 |
67 |
35 |
0.301 |
0.400 |
|
2009 |
576 |
101 |
24 |
106 |
27 |
0.342 |
0.410 |
|
2010 |
543 |
92 |
21 |
76 |
32 |
0.300 |
0.378 |
|
PROJ |
573 |
106 |
23 |
91 |
28 |
0.305 |
0.382 |
After a disappointing 2010 campaign, expect Han-Ram to post better numbers in 2011. Ramirez won’t touch his 2009 RBI total but he is a top 10 player out there, with a rare power and speed combo.
2. Troy Tulowitzki – 26 Bats: Right
|
Year |
AB |
R |
HR |
RBI |
SB |
AVG. |
OBP. |
|
2008 |
377 |
48 |
8 |
46 |
5 |
0.263 |
0.322 |
|
2009 |
543 |
101 |
32 |
92 |
2 |
0.243 |
0.377 |
|
2010 |
470 |
89 |
27 |
95 |
4 |
0.287 |
0.381 |
|
PROJ |
550 |
94 |
28 |
100 |
9 |
0.301 |
0.383 |
As long as he stay healthy Tulo’s star will continue to rise. Tulo is a stud no doubt. Don’t hesitate to take him in the late first round – early second, and you can expect him to improve a little bit on his 2010 stats.
Tier 2
3. Jose Reyes – 28 Bats: Switch
|
Year |
AB |
R |
HR |
RBI |
SB |
AVG. |
OBP. |
|
2008 |
688 |
113 |
16 |
68 |
56 |
0.297 |
0.358 |
|
2009 |
147 |
18 |
2 |
15 |
11 |
0.279 |
0.355 |
|
2010 |
563 |
83 |
11 |
44 |
30 |
0.282 |
0.321 |
|
PROJ |
582 |
100 |
14 |
65 |
43 |
0.293 |
0.355 |
Reyes has become sort of a headache due to his leg ailments. He does have across the board appeal, though who should trend close to his 2008 numbers, if he can stay healthy. Draft him by all means, but make sure to play it safe and draft a solid backup.
4. Derek Jeter – 37 Bats: Right
|
Year |
AB |
R |
HR |
RBI |
SB |
AVG. |
OBP. |
|
2008 |
594 |
88 |
11 |
69 |
11 |
0.300 |
0.363 |
|
2009 |
634 |
107 |
18 |
66 |
30 |
0.334 |
0.400 |
|
2010 |
663 |
111 |
10 |
67 |
18 |
0.276 |
0.369 |
|
PROJ |
605 |
100 |
13 |
63 |
15 |
0.285 |
0.366 |
Jeter had a disappointing year, by fantasy standards he has set in the past, but now he is armed with a contract that will guarantee him retiring as Yankee. So you can expect one more solid year before he starts to show real decline.
5. Jimmy Rollins – 32 Bats: Switch
|
Year |
AB |
R |
HR |
RBI |
SB |
AVG. |
OBP. |
|
2008 |
556 |
76 |
11 |
59 |
47 |
0.277 |
0.349 |
|
2009 |
672 |
100 |
21 |
77 |
31 |
0.250 |
0.296 |
|
2010 |
350 |
48 |
8 |
41 |
17 |
0.243 |
0.320 |
|
PROJ |
552 |
93 |
13 |
64 |
28 |
0.275 |
0.334 |
Much like Reyes, Rollins continues to be bitten by the injury bug, and you don’t what to expect from at this point. If he can stay healthy his numbers should trend towards his 2009 numbers. Until he can stay healthy you drafting Rollins a bargain not a star name.
6. Elvis Andrus - 22 ***Great Upside Bats: Right
|
Year |
AB |
R |
HR |
RBI |
SB |
AVG. |
OBP. |
|
2009 |
480 |
72 |
6 |
40 |
33 |
0.267 |
0.329 |
|
2010 |
588 |
88 |
0 |
35 |
32 |
0.265 |
0.342 |
|
PROJ |
605 |
92 |
3 |
42 |
40 |
0.282 |
0.345 |
There is a part of me that wanted to put Elvis in the top 5, but I wanted to make sure that his progression towards the elite is legit and there is no setback. He is potentially a two category monster hitting at the top of a very potent lineup in Texas.
7. Alexei Ramirez – 29 Bats: Right
|
Year |
AB |
R |
HR |
RBI |
SB |
AVG. |
OBP. |
|
2008 |
480 |
65 |
21 |
77 |
13 |
0.290 |
0.317 |
|
2009 |
542 |
71 |
15 |
68 |
14 |
0.277 |
0.333 |
|
2010 |
585 |
83 |
18 |
70 |
13 |
0.282 |
0.313 |
|
PROJ |
568 |
85 |
17 |
74 |
13 |
0.287 |
0.321 |
The free-swinging Alexei is in a contract year and in his prime. He hasn’t show substantial growth or declined either, and he a notoriously know as a slow starter. He is as safe as they come because you know what to expect out of him and with SS not being so deep that’s a good thing.
8. Stephen Drew – 28 Bats: Left
|
Year |
AB |
R |
HR |
RBI |
SB |
AVG. |
OBP |
|
2008 |
611 |
91 |
21 |
67 |
3 |
0.291 |
0.333 |
|
2009 |
533 |
71 |
12 |
65 |
5 |
0.261 |
0.320 |
|
2010 |
565 |
83 |
15 |
61 |
10 |
0.278 |
0.352 |
|
PROJ |
575 |
86 |
16 |
67 |
8 |
0.282 |
0.343 |
Drew is a solid player who will help you across the board and like Alexei Ramirez his stats are pretty steady and you know what you’re getting out of him. A huge year is not out of the question, but draft him for what he has always been and you won’t be disappointed.
TIER 3
9. Yunel Escobar – 28 *Sleeper Alert Bats: Right
|
Year |
AB |
R |
HR |
RBI |
SB |
AVG. |
OBP |
|
2008 |
514 |
71 |
10 |
60 |
2 |
0.288 |
0.366 |
|
2009 |
528 |
89 |
14 |
76 |
5 |
0.299 |
0.377 |
|
2010 |
497 |
60 |
4 |
35 |
6 |
0.256 |
0.377 |
|
PROJ |
534 |
79 |
13 |
65 |
9 |
0.281 |
0.355 |
Escobar needed a change of scenery to the hitter friendly confines of Toronto after the rocky divorce with Atlanta. In a full season in Toronto Escobar should be able to recoup some of his lost offense. He is a solid sleeper with bounce back potential and could easily break the top 10 this season.
10. Ian Desmond – 24 *Sleeper Alert Bats: Right
|
Year |
AB |
R |
HR |
RBI |
SB |
AVG. |
OBP |
|
2009 |
82 |
9 |
4 |
12 |
1 |
0.280 |
0.318 |
|
2010 |
525 |
59 |
10 |
65 |
17 |
0.269 |
0.328 |
|
PROJ |
550 |
70 |
14 |
67 |
24 |
0.279 |
0.344 |
This guy has shown steady growth in his second year, and should continue to grow as long as his defensive doesn’t land him on the bench. He was 15hr-25sb guy in the minors, and that’s what you should expect out of him this year.
11. Rafael Furcal – 33 Bats: Both
|
Year |
AB |
R |
HR |
RBI |
SB |
AVG. |
OBP. |
|
2008 |
36 |
34 |
5 |
16 |
22 |
0.357 |
0.439 |
|
2009 |
150 |
92 |
9 |
47 |
12 |
0.269 |
0.335 |
|
2010 |
97 |
66 |
8 |
43 |
8 |
0.300 |
0.366 |
|
PROJ |
475 |
77 |
7 |
45 |
18 |
0.280 |
0.342 |
Furcal is the best example of risk/ reward player. When he was healthy he managed All-Star caliber numbers, but he was a regular on the DL, and his skill set has started to decline. Could he put up 2009 like numbers? Sure, but I am not buying it till I see some consistency off the DL.
12. Starlin Castro – 21 **Good Upside Bats: Right
|
Year |
AB |
R |
HR |
RBI |
SB |
AVG. |
OBP. |
|
2010 |
463 |
53 |
3 |
41 |
10 |
0.300 |
0.405 |
|
PROJ |
576 |
85 |
6 |
44 |
19 |
0.288 |
0.408 |
Only the one of 4 players in the past 50 seasons to bat .300 in 20th year. His star is rising and the Cubbies see him developing as a 15hr-20sb type player. He’s worth a mid-round selection but as always be aware of the sophomore slump, though I expect a small step forward in the right direction.
13. Asdrubal Cabrera – 25 **Good Upside Bats: Both
|
Year |
AB |
R |
HR |
RBI |
SB |
AVG. |
OBP. |
|
2008 |
352 |
48 |
6 |
47 |
4 |
0.259 |
0.346 |
|
2009 |
523 |
81 |
6 |
68 |
17 |
0.308 |
0.361 |
|
2010 |
381 |
39 |
3 |
29 |
16 |
0.276 |
0.326 |
|
PROJ |
525 |
78 |
6 |
50 |
18 |
0.285 |
0.345 |
Forget about Cabrera’s wrecked last season, this guy has shown good upside. If he can stay healthy he a return to 2009 form at the least is possibility. He is late round pick up who could be a steal that late.
14. Erick Aybar – 27 *Okay Upside Bats: Both
|
Year |
AB |
R |
HR |
RBI |
SB |
AVG. |
OBP. |
|
2008 |
346 |
53 |
3 |
39 |
7 |
0.277 |
0.314 |
|
2009 |
504 |
70 |
5 |
58 |
14 |
0.312 |
0.353 |
|
2010 |
534 |
69 |
5 |
29 |
22 |
0.277 |
0.306 |
|
PROJ |
556 |
73 |
4 |
51 |
20 |
0.283 |
0.344 |
Much of Aybar’s stats are tied to where he is hitting in the lineup. If he hits top of the order, then this projection is the minimum of what he can do. Remember this guy was a .300 hitter/40sb in the minors.
TIER 4
15. Marco Scutaro – 35 Bats: Right
|
Year |
AB |
R |
HR |
RBI |
SB |
AVG. |
OBP. |
|
2008 |
517 |
76 |
7 |
60 |
7 |
0.267 |
0.356 |
|
2009 |
574 |
100 |
12 |
60 |
14 |
0.282 |
0.409 |
|
2010 |
632 |
92 |
11 |
56 |
5 |
0.275 |
0.333 |
|
PROJ |
545 |
80 |
8 |
52 |
5 |
0.272 |
0.325 |
Marco was able to stay relatively productive despite playing with a lot of pain, at the advanced age of 35. He should be a decent source for runs but not much of anything else, and with growth and emergence of Jed Lowrie Marco’s days in Boston could be very well numbered. Proceed with caution and tread lightly
16. Juan Uribe – 31 Bats: Right
|
Year |
AB |
R |
HR |
RBI |
SB |
AVG. |
OBP. |
|
2008 |
324 |
38 |
7 |
40 |
1 |
0.247 |
0.296 |
|
2009 |
398 |
50 |
16 |
55 |
3 |
0.289 |
0.329 |
|
2010 |
521 |
64 |
24 |
85 |
1 |
0.248 |
0.310 |
|
PROJ |
505 |
61 |
18 |
70 |
2 |
0.255 |
0.317 |
Even though Uribe hit 24 homers last year, his move to Dodger Stadium will cause homer totals will decrease. His average won’t help you and he is extremely streaky. With his versality at 2nd, 3rd, and SS. He is a great bench player who is a great play during his hot streaks.
Other Notables
Jason Bartlett – 31
Alcides Escobar – 24
Alex Gonzalez - 34
Reid Brignac – 25
J.J. Hardy – 28
Yuniesky Betancourt – 29
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