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Fantasy Baseball: 2011 Rankings-OF

Baseball - Position Rankings

Carlos GonzaelzWhat can we say about outfielders in Fantasy Baseball? Well I for one will say it is a tough position to draft. A very tough position indeed.

When looking at the projection lists of the players listed below the top 10 are all close to the same. The top 5 are even closer. Looking over the list reminds me a lot of the scene in the movie "Forest Gump" when Bubba is telling Forest of all the different types of shrimp there are. We got hard hitters, we got fast runners, we got slow runners, we got smart hitters, we got dumb hitters and we even have old and young hitters....you get the point right?

Great. During your draft you should not worry about getting a terrible outfielder till pick 20. The only problems you may have are in the first couple picks. Here's why; You may be faced with a hard decision of either picking a Carlos Gonzalez or a Carl Crawford(who I have as my number 1 outfielder for 2011) You will have to decide if CarGo will produce the numbers and get the batting titles again OR if Crawford who just joined a new hot team is going to rip the numbers up and come out as top dog. It's a hard life isn't it? I highly suggest that you take a glance at the projections and get a good feel for the names and their numbers so you will be ahead of the game come draft day for your league. Another thing I suggest you think about is if you are hard set on picking someone, but when your turn comes up and that someone is still left, but another hottness is still available stick with your first choice.

Also remember the pool of good outfielders goes pretty far down the water hole, so you'll be safe grabbing a late round player to get your team to the champion! Enjoy

Tier 1

Carl Crawford-29-LF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

443

69

8

57

25

.273

.319

2009

606

96

15

68

60

.305

.364

2010

600

110

19

90

47

.307

.356

Proj.

591

88

17

99

49

.300

.353

Crawford has joined yet another dangerous offense in the Boston Red Sox. Being in a protected line-up with batting in front Dustin Pedroia, Kevin Youkills, and Adrian Gonzalez he should be able to cut down his strike outs against left hander’s.

Carlos Gonzalez-25-LF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

302

31

4

26

4

.242

.273

2009

278

53

13

29

16

.284

.353

2010

587

111

34

117

26

.336

.376

Proj.

565

88

30

112

25

.298

.348

In 2010 CarGo had a breakout season with having 34 home runs and a career high .336 average. Though with his great batting season he did have his downfalls of having way more strikeouts than he needed to have. Not many people think he can repeat his ’10 season, which you can’t blame them. Another concern with CarGo could be that 26 of his 35 HRs came while at home.

Ryan Braun-27-LF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

611

92

37

106

14

.258

.335

2009

635

113

32

114

20

.320

.386

2010

619

101

25

103

14

.304

.365

Proj.

624

105

35

108

16

.294

.354

Though Brauns stats dropped a few numbers in the last year he still maintained an average over .300 and he had a career high of 43 doubles. You should still expect him to be a big run producer this year as well.

Matt Holliday-31-LF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

539

107

25

88

28

.321

.409

2009

581

94

24

109

14

.313

.394

2010

596

95

28

103

9

.312

.390

Proj.

589

96

25

100

13

.304

.386

Holliday ended his season on a high note with going 34 for 90 (.378) in over 26 games in September. As long as he bats with Albert Pujols any pitcher will have to pick their poison, and not to mention the possible 100 RBI season he could have is going to make him a gem  for anyone to have.

Tier 2

Matt Kemp-26-CF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

606

93

18

76

35

.290

.340

2009

606

97

26

101

34

.397

.352

2010

602

82

28

89

19

.249

.310

Proj.

601

89

26

93

27

.279

.339

Kemps 2010 season was disappointing compared to his ’09 season. Though he still had a career high of 28 HRs and still had a high amount of RBI. Though Don Mattingly being the Dodgers new Manager, and with Joe Torre gone Kemp should be able to get his stats up again. Kemp is still a good top 10 outfielder.

Josh Hamilton-29-LF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

624

98

32

130

9

.304

.371

2009

336

43

10

54

8

.268

.315

2010

518

95

32

100

8

.359

.633

Proj.

523

88

28

106

9

.313

.372

If Hamilton could stay healthier he would probably pushed higher. Though in his injury prone state he lowered his strike out rate from 24% to 18%. With Adrian Beltre joining the line up, you should see great numbers from Hamilton.

Nelson Cruz-30-LF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

115

19

7

26

3

.330

.421

2009

462

75

33

76

20

.260

.332

2010

399

60

22

78

19

.318

.374

Proj.

455

75

27

92

17

.290

.357

Coming in to 2011 Cruz will probably top the list of the most sought after players. He has power and speed, but the key for Cruz is…DING will he stay healthy? If he does, he will be a fun player to watch in the hitter friendly park in Texas.

Ichiro Suzuki-37-RF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

686

103

6

42

43

.310

.361

2009

639

88

11

46

26

.352

.386

2010

380

74

6

43

42

.315

.359

Proj.

659

106

7

56

39

.329

.372

Suzuki is one of the few players in the game who has had a consistent batting average above .300. There is something to be said about that. Ichiro won’t give you power, but he will get on base and steal them just as quick. The only smudge for Suzuki is the rest of the terrible offense on Seattle just cannot drive him in.

Shinn-Shoo Choo-28-RF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

317

68

14

66

4

.309

.397

2009

583

87

20

86

21

.300

.384

2010

550

81

22

90

22

.300

.401

Proj.

561

98

22

92

20

.289

.391

Choo was a hidden gem for the last couple of years, but not anymore. Some camps are predicting that he will be drafted in the same round as a Ryan Braun. Keep your eyes open for him.

Jose Bautista-30-LF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

370

45

016

54

1

.238

.313

2009

336

54

13

40

4

.235

.349

2010

569

109

54

124

9

.260

.378

Proj.

527

102

41

94

6

.270

.382

With having dual-eligibly in 2011 for 3B and OF that may add more value to him, but don’t get caught in thinking he is going to have a repeat season. Though he does have power, and a high walk rate I don’t see him drafted till after the 2nd round.

Tier 3

Justin Upton-23-RF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

356

52

15

42

1

.250

.353

2009

526

84

26

86

20

.300

.366

2010

495

73

17

69

18

.273

.356

Proj.

541

84

21

83

17

.283

.378

Upton had a struggling season last year. Granted he was nursing a shoulder injury, which he has decided not to get worked on. His 31% strike-out rate could possibly  worry most, though Diamondbacks Manager has stated that Upton will get more playing time which could make Upton a 20-20 guy.

Andrew McCutchen-24-CF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2009

433

74

12

54

22

.286

.365

2010

570

94

16

56

33

.286

.365

Proj.

559

98

16

55

31

.289

.372

Deciding when and if to pick up McCutchen deserves a little bit of thinking here. Granted his ’10 season stats look pretty good for his second year in the league. Much discussion about McCutchen has been on the topic if he is playing to his full potential. If you feel he is going to rise up then he is probably worth picking after the third round, but if you are having reservations then take your time and see who is left.

Alex Rios-29-CF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

635

91

15

79

32

.291

.337

2009

582

63

17

71

24

.247

.296

2010

567

89

21

88

34

.284

334

Proj.

571

83

19

71

31

.278

.330

Rios is a decent player on paper, but what most people don’t know or forget is he plays great the first half of the season and goes down hill slowly…like being behind an old lady on the road.

Jayson Werth-31-RF

2008

418

73

24

67

20

.273

.363

2009

571

98

36

99

20

.268

.373

2010

554

106

27

85

13

.296

.388

Proj.

538

94

28

98

16

.272

.374

With Werths transition from being in a hitters park to a pitchers park he has struggled a little, though he ended with good numbers, he will only get slightly better. Being in the middle of the line up is worth giving him a third round looking.

B.J Upton-26-CF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

531

85

9

67

44

.273

.383

2009

560

79

11

55

42

.241

.313

2010

536

89

18

62

42

.237

.322

Proj.

521

68

15

69

40

.254

.345

Though Upton had a low batting performance last season I expect he will come into his prime as he enters the new season at 26. Anyone who can get double digit HRs and 40 stole bases is a for sure threat.

Hunter Pence-28-RF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

595

78

25

83

11

.269

.318

2009

585

76

25

72

14

.282

.346

2010

614

93

25

91

18

.282

.325

Proj.

597

87

25

89

15

.291

.340

Being that he hasn’t been able to get more than 25 HRs and has hit that many the last three years he should probably get some sort of a reward. With his average not really making any movement up, he won’t make the first couple rounds.

Jay Bruce-23-RF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

413

63

21

52

4

.254

.314

2009

345

47

22

58

3

.223

.303

2010

509

80

25

70

5

.281

.353

Proj.

534

82

28

88

5

.272

.344

Bruce finally had a breakout season. Not only did he have a good season, but also the REDs hooked him up with a six year $51 million contract extension. Not to mention he is only 23 and he could possibly have more than 30. Consider him early in deeper leagues.

Andre Ethier-27-RF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

525

90

20

77

6

.305

.375

2009

596

92

31

106

6

.272

.361

2010

517

71

23

82

2

.292

.364

Proj.

567

92

26

99

3

.284

.364

After Ethiers broken pinkie incident early last year he struggled to find a groove. Assuming he wont break another pinkie in the beginning of the season he is a safe bet for your team.

Tier 4

Jason Heyward-21-RF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2010

520

83

18

72

11

.277

.393

Proj.

557

104

22

74

12

.283

.400

There is so much to say about Jason Heyward. He was the runner up in Rookie of the Year, he had a phenomenal season with the bat, and in my opinion he is one of the smartest young hitters in the game. Getting placed fourth in walks will get you noticed as well. If he can stay healthy all season he should be picked up very quickly.

Delmon Young-25-LF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

575

80

10

69

14

.290

.336

2009

395

50

12

60

2

.284

.308

2010

570

77

21

112

5

.298

.333

Proj.

561

70

18

85

6

.291

.329

Young was a great pickup for anyone’s fantasy team last year. Although his stolen bases have dropped which could provide concern for his speed dropping. Young is for sure coming into his prime and will provide your team with great numbers. Definitely a top 30 Fantasy outfielder.

Shane Victorino-29-CF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

570

78

12

46

37

.281

.347

2009

620

102

14

58

36

.293

.352

2010

587

84

18

69

34

.259

.327

Proj.

540

72

14

76

29

.282

.348

The buzz around this guy are his stolen base numbers won’t be as good as ’10 because of his first base coach leaving and going to LA. The only reason his numbers may go down is because he is getting older. He should go in the middle rounds on draft day.

Curtis Granderson-29-CF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

553

112

22

66

12

.280

.365

2009

631

91

30

71

20

.249

.327

2010

466

76

24

67

12

.247

.324

Proj.

512

73

25

83

14

.269

.346

Take a glance at Granderson during the middle rounds on draft day. Granderson had made an effort to work on his hitting mechanics which ended up helping him in the post season.

Chris B. Young-27-CF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

625

85

22

85

14

.248

.315

2009

433

54

15

42

11

.212

.311

2010

584

94

27

91

28

.257

.341

Proj.

559

84

24

87

22

.240

.326

Young finally went above .250. Though his average was and probably will be low his other numbers will be pretty decent. If you’re fine with the low average and a 20-20 he is a valuable pick.

Mike Stanton-21-RF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2010

359

45

22

59

5

.259

.326

Proj.

562

83

34

97

8

.245

.314

Stanton had a wonderful rookie season with only playing 100 games. If he cuts his strikeouts down he will have an even better season. Consider him mid draft.

Tier 5

Corey Hart-28-RF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

612

76

20

91

23

.268

.300

2009

419

64

12

48

11

.260

.335

2010

558

91

31

102

7

.283

.340

Proj.

575

88

20

86

12

.271

.321

Being that Hart is playing for a contract one would think that he would play a fantastic year. With that said his bat was no consistent last year, and being protected by Ryan Braun and Fielder you’d think he would have a much better performance. Anything can happen here, but I don’t expect him to go till after the 7th round.

Jacoby Ellsbury-27-CF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

554

98

9

47

50

.280

.336

2009

624

94

8

60

70

.301

.355

2010

78

10

0

5

7

.192

.241

Proj.

521

79

6

48

60

.290

.345

Ellsbury comes with some reservation being that he only play 18 games last season and sat out with a rib injury. If he works hard during training and shakes the rust off I think he could get his SBs back to a high number again and maintain a high average.

Colby Rasmus-24-CF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2009

474

72

16

52

3

.251

.307

2010

464

85

23

66

12

.276

.361

Proj.

514

81

23

66

10

.252

.334

Rasmus had a pretty good season last year with hitting 23 HRs. He will only get better, though he will need to improve his power against left-handed pitchers.

Ben Zorbist-29(upside)

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

198

32

12

30

3

.253

.339

2009

501

91

27

91

17

.297

.405

2010

541

77

10

75

24

.238

.346

Proj.

552

96

16

66

20

.264

.374

A couple things need to be noted about Zorbist. He will be 30 in late June, he is getting moved around way tooo much, which could be to your advantage, and he is at the point where he almost needs to show up and be motivated to the ceiling to get great numbers. He could be a top 10 with his versatility, but until he gets better and puts the ’10 to bed he will remain here.

Torii Hunter-35-CF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

551

85

21

78

19

.278

.344

2009

451

74

22

90

18

.299

.366

2010

573

76

23

90

9

.281

.354

Proj.

525

83

22

81

15

.291

.364

Here’s the action with Hunter. He will be turning 36 this year and you won’t see him leading the boards on hitting stats anymore. He is getting thrown out more times than being successful. Though the plus side is Kendry Morales will return from injury which will provide Hunter with lineup protection.

Grady Sizemore-28-CF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

634

101

33

90

38

.268

.374

2009

436

73

18

64

13

.248

.343

2010

128

15

0

13

4

.211

.271

Proj.

465

76

15

44

20

.253

.348

Unfortunately this guy’s season ended early with a left knee injury. Word on the street is that he will be ready to play this season with a healthy knee. I expect him to play with full force being that he left the season in may and has had plenty of time to prepare and train for this season. ’09 was his best season with a 30-30 I am not sure he can do that again but may come close.

Michael Bourn-28-CF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

467

57

5

29

41

.229

.288

2009

606

97

3

35

61

.285

.354

2010

535

84

2

38

52

.265

.341

Proj.

559

85

3

42

56

.271

.343

With the young core of players that are around Bourn in Houston you can expect another year of high steals and high runs scored.

Juan Pierre-33-LF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

375

44

1

28

40

.283

.327

2009

380

57

0

31

30

.308

.365

2010

651

96

1

47

68

.275

.341

Proj.

587

88

1

47

58

.295

.365

Juan’s numbers in stolen bases is PHENOMINAL! Don’t expect him to go yard that much, but if he stays healthy expect those stolen bag numbers to be very high.

Drew Stubbs-26-CF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2009

180

27

8

17

10

.267

.323

2010

514

91

22

77

30

.255

.329

Proj.

522

80

23

67

30

.255

.326

Last year Stubbs tied Alex Rios in having over 20 HRs and 30 steals with in all out fielders. Stubbs gets little to no respect in the baseball community. Though he has low averages he can still produce good numbers for your team

Bobby Abreu-37-RF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

609

100

20

100

22

.296

.371

2009

563

96

15

103

30

.293

.390

2010

573

88

20

78

24

.255

.352

Proj.

547

93

17

64

25

.273

.370

Here are some major concerns about Abreu. He will be 37 before the start of the season this year. He came 22 RBIs short of maintaining his 100+ RBI streak and had his lowest average in the last couple of seasons. Still..dont be afraid to draft him between rounds 25-30.

Nick Markakis-27-RF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

595

106

20

87

10

.306

.406

2009

642

94

18

101

6

.293

.347

2010

629

79

12

60

7

.297

.370

Proj.

608

97

14

72

7

.291

.364

The arrival of Mark Reynolds is a great help for Markakis. He did not have an impressive last season, but hopefully that will turn around with the protection from Reynolds.

Tier 6

Carlos Lee-34-LF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

436

61

28

100

4

.314

.368

2009

610

65

26

102

5

.300

.343

2010

605

67

24

89

3

.246

.291

Proj.

561

80

24

87

5

.283

.331

Last season Lee was terrible. His average was at an all low of .246 and didn’t reach 100 RBIs which is a first since ’05. Lee voiced that he is working harder on getting better and is moving on from a terrible season. Maybe a bounce back year for this old man could be seen.

Brett Gardner-27-CF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

127

18

0

16

13

.228

.283

2009

248

48

3

23

26

.270

.345

2010

477

97

5

47

47

.277

.383

Proj.

497

69

5

62

54

.282

.381

Gardner has one of the best eyes in the game. Though he has a strike out rate of 21.2% he still gets on base very often, which increases the odds of him stealing a bag. Though I feel he has flown under the radar for sometime, you could probably pick him up sooner than later.

Travis Snider-24-LF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

73

9

2

13

0

.301

.338

2009

241

34

9

29

1

.241

.328

2010

298

36

14

32

6

.255

.304

Proj.

521

71

23

75

7

.276

.334

Snider only being 24 still has a lot to learn about the majors. Picking Snider is like playing a hand of craps…not sure whats going to happen. Though I am very confident that he will play a full season and get over 15 HRs.

Adam Jones-25-CF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

477

61

9

57

10

.270

.311

2009

473

83

19

70

10

.277

.335

2010

581

76

19

69

7

.284

.325

Proj.

569

77

19

82

10

.280

.326

April and May were really the only productive months for Jones last year. If he could cut out the inconsistencies then his talent would soar.

Nick Swisher-30-RF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

497

86

24

69

3

.219

.332

2009

498

84

29

82

0

.249

.371

2010

566

91

29

89

1

.288

.359

Proj.

551

95

29

81

1

.265

.357

The last two seasons Swishers numbers were pretty close to each other. I don’t expect his numbers to move much more and I expect his average to drop a few this year.

Vernon Wells-32-CF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

427

63

20

78

4

.300

.343

2009

630

84

15

66

17

.260

.311

2010

590

79

31

88

6

.273

.331

Proj.

581

85

25

95

9

.274

.330

The nice thing about Wells is that he doesn’t miss a lot of games. Between the last two seasons he has only missed 9 games. With that said he still does have his inconsistencies that he needs to deal will if he wants to move up on the charts.

Jason Bay-33-LF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

577

111

31

101

10

.286

.373

2009

531

103

36

119

13

.267

.384

2010

348

48

6

47

10

.259

.347

Proj.

517

82

20

76

12

.258

.358

Unfortunately Bay was out early last year due to a concussion. He may have actually mirrored his ’09 season with 36 HRs. If he stays healthy he is good for a 20-20 and a middle round pick.

Tier 7

Denard Span-26-CF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

347

70

6

47

18

.294

.387

2009

578

97

8

68

23

.311

.392

2010

629

85

3

58

26

.264

.331

Proj.

607

99

5

55

24

.290

.363

Outside of having a few stolen bases and possibly being protected by Joe Mower who bats behind Span..there really isn’t much to be impressed by him.

Michael Cuddyer-31-RF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

249

30

3

36

5

.249

.330

2009

588

93

32

84

6

.276

.342

2010

609

93

14

81

7

.271

.336

Proj.

589

86

18

93

8

.276

.345

Here are a few things about Cuddyer. He is getting arthroscopic knee surgery on his right knee. He isn’t getting any younger with turning 32 in a month. Though he may be able to play three positions (1b,OF,3b) I still don’t expect that he will see a season like he did in ’09.

Angel Pagan-29-CF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2008

91

12

0

13

4

.275

.346

2009

343

54

6

32

14

.306

.350

2010

579

80

11

69

37

.290

.340

Proj.

561

79

11

64

30

.278

.331

This could be a great year for Pagan. He will be playing for the right to continue to play as a starter. If there are signs that he is going to fight to start then look at him for middle rounds..if not then just wait.

Andres Torres-32-RF

AB

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG.

OBP.

2009

152

30

6

23

6

.270

.343

2010

507

84

16

63

26

.268

.343

Proj.

557

90

19

60

27

262

.337

Torres had a pretty good season in ’10. Helped his team with the Championship as well. Don’t let his average fool you either. If you are in a roto league then pick him up between rounds 10-15

Tier 8

Desmond Jennings

Garrett Jones

David Dejesus

Ryan Ludwick

Jose Tabata

Raul Ibanez

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